Analysis: Trump, Tariff and Magaru’s Makhana, a chance to convert disaster into opportunity

Trump tarif impact on india: Until Aurangzeb’s death, India and China used to share 50 percent of the world’s economy. Till then America could not stand properly. His global identity was restless with the help of Europe. The wheel of the time turned around and with the huge threat of the atomic bomb, he himself declared the world’s string. During the world war, America became the Mahajan of the world. Britain, who ruled half the earth, also became the debtor of America. Until the 80-90s, America was the axis of the world economy. But time is very strong. The aspiring economy that he put a technology surgery to China, he shook America from its place today. American threats in the global economy began to crack. Of course, he is still the largest economy and the second number global corbari, but internal conditions are becoming hollow. His trade deficit has reached 1.4 trillion dollars. This is such an amount as two or four small countries can be purchased. But this deficit Donald Trump has gone very much. This time it seems that my promise is my rule and will be of Trump Manwa. He put up a tax of up to 54 percent on goods and services in the US. After all, what does it mean, will it destroy the world’s economy or will it heal on America’s growing trade deficit.

Will the global economy be relaxed
Some experts believe that when American tariffs do not reach America, it will increase the trade deficit of that country and eventually it will harm its economy. Some experts are also fearing global economic recession from this. But these things seem superficial. If we look closely on the figures, it is now a crooked pudding by America to harm the global economy. Simply put, it is no longer in America. Today, America’s stake in global trade has been reduced to just 13 percent. In today’s situation, America has become the world’s largest debtor. He has a debt of 77 thousand billion dollars or 7.7 trillion dollars. If domestic debt is merged, America has taken 123 percent debt of its GDP. Every year this debt is increasing. Because every year the US is suffering a trade deficit of $ 1.14 trillion. Import is increasing and exports are declining. The $ 1.86 trillion imports $ 3 trillion against the export of $ 1.86. How much he is able to make up with this tariff, it will be the time, but it is very difficult to affect the world’s economy because countries around the world have limited the import of goods from America. Secondly, 50 percent of America trade is only 3 countries from Canada, Mexico and China. Obviously, it will have the most effect on these three countries. But is these three countries so weak that it will be unable to be able to withstand it.

Impact on China, Canada and Mexico
Now let’s talk about these three countries Canada, Mexic and China where a total of 50 percent of America is traded. Meaning his trade with the rest of the 200 countries is 50 percent. Half of half percent of a country with a country and 5 percent with a country. The first thing to talk about China. As you know, today China is the main pillar of the global market. His stake in global trade is 17 percent. Suppose not a single Chinese goods reached America from Trump’s tariff. Before this will make the difference to China, know that today China would send $ 3.58 trillion goods to the countries of the world. In comparison, he imports $ 2.59 trillion goods and service from the world. According to this, he has the benefit of 0.99 trillion. In the current data, China’s global trade profit has crossed 1 trillion i.e. $ 1000 billion. The US sins $ 439.9 billion items and service from China. On the other hand, he sends only $ 144.5 billion items and service to China. That is, America suffers a loss of $ 295.4 billion by trade with China. So will not a single goods of China reach America with Trump’s tariff.

It is meaningless to talk like this in economics. At first, due to tariff, it will never happen that the Chinese goods stop selling completely there. The Chinese service is more in this business, which is difficult to decrease. On the other hand, despite the tariff, the price of sugar goods will still be low. Therefore, it is difficult for Chinese goods to end in America. On the contrary, the American public will have to buy sugar goods by paying more price. Although Trump’s tariff will definitely have an impact on China, China is in such a high position in global trade that it will quickly compensate for it as it has a huge market in Asia and Africa and foreign exchange reserves are full of dollars. The economy of Canada and Mexico will definitely have some impact but Canada’s trade deficit is only 32.30 million dollars but Mexico’s trade deficit is $ 28.46 billion. In such a situation, both countries can have a partial effect.

What will affect American people with Trump’s tariff
Heavy octroi is deployed to preserve its desi market. So that the companies that are making goods in the country become cheaper and foreign goods become expensive. This will reduce trade deficit and will not have to take loans from the market for foreign currency. The bottom line is that this will reduce the deficit to the country and increase foreign exchange. It was also necessary for America to do this because it is constantly struggling with huge losses. But will this step of America prove beneficial for it. Whenever a country seats a foreign goods, the price of that item increases naturally. Trump has imposed a tariff of 25 percent on automatic parts and vehicles from Canada. If you understand this in the example, then the Shavi Silverado car, who is from Canada, is currently priced at $ 50 thousand but after the octroi, its price will be 62500 dollars. Similarly, washing machines coming from China, which are currently getting for $ 749, will now be available for $ 835. So what will be the effect on America’s domestic market. Obviously, people will consider the option of such expensive things. This will reduce the arrival of these items and will balance the business deficit. But there is another aspect of this. American people are not happy with this tariff. The inflation rate in America is already on the sky. Since people have to buy essential items, people are angry. The difficulty is that if he buys a desi version of goods with alternatives, then it is already expensive. What will he do in this situation? People who have more purchasing power will buy the same foreign goods at a high price. This will reduce their savings, which is not finally good for the economy. The rest will postpone it for some time or consider less standard goods. In such a situation, this octroi will not be completely affected.

Will the price of Mangru Makhane in India decrease
Our village has Mangru chief whose profession is a business of Makhane. He rented two bighas of land and produces makhana in it. For the last few years, the price of Makhane has increased. The reason for this has increased tremendous interest in Makhane in the market of Western countries. At the moment, he is happy to sell 1200 rupees a kg Makhana and earn a good amount in a year. He has no meaning where Makhana goes. India sends 1,359 consignment to America to Makhana. So will the tariff of Trump bring a recession in the business of Mangru Makhana. Before this, know how much business of India and America is. India sent an item and service of $ 60 billion in 2024 but only called for $ 35 billion. In this way, India collects an additional amount of $ 25 billion by trade with America. Trump passes this exasperation. They even say that India is a tariff king who puts up to 70-70 percent tariffs on our goods, but we give them subsidy. This is also true to some extent but what is the option. A large part of what we export to America is service, which America cannot stop even if they want to.

Suppose half of our goods from Trump’s tariff do not reach America, even then we will have to face a loss of $ 12 billion. But according to the analysis of Motilal Oswal, India exports goods worth $ 42.2 billion to the main 6 major sectors. This is 1.1 percent of our economy. If these entire sectors are also affected, it will have an equal effect on our dinner economy. Now let’s talk about Mangru’s Makhana. So Makhana does not happen in any other country. The second taste of Makhane has been so felt to the Americans that if it is sold there for $ 200, people will buy it because many American entrepreneurs are buying Makhana from here and processing it in various flavors and selling it at a higher price. In such a situation, what will be the effect on Mangru’s Makhana, you should understand yourself.

How to get opportunities in disaster
India exports the US mainly to electrical machinery, James and Jewelery, Fermasutical Products, Machinery, Iron and Steel and Seafood for nuclear reactors. Trump’s tariff seems to have a slowdown in this sector because this goods will not reach there, which will reduce production. If it is seen with other glasses, then there are great opportunities hidden in this challenge. When goods do not go in America, it will be more here. The price will have to be reduced if there is more goods. Sale will increase by reducing price. Production will be encouraged again due to increase in sales. On the other hand, in response to Trump’s tariff, we cannot put tariffs because we are already applying more tariffs. In such a situation, we can reduce the import of American goods. In this situation, the goods we are asking for from America will invest to make it on ourselves. Due to American technology or Chinese technology, the items there are cheaper which we do not have technology. India wakes up much later in everything. Our attitude in developing new technology is also similar. But with the tariff punishment of Trump, we will be interested and forcibly encouraged to develop cheap technology. China remains a backbone in the global economy today on the basis of cheap technology. Till the medieval period, there was a reign in the global economy of India and China. For almost 500 years, both of us countries were very backward in it. China has come into a position to achieve its old place very fast in the global market. Now it is India’s turn. India can easily grab the opportunity in the disaster of this tariff of Trump. If we invest on research, then we can spread our belongings in the world but also by making cheap technology. In 1991, as Finance Minister, Dr. Manmohan Singh said that when the time of something comes, no power in the world can stop it. It seems that this time has come. Of course it is under the pressure of Trump’s tariff, but we have to reduce imports and increase the export of our goods on the basis of technology. (There is a slight shortage in the data.)